Pi Network Price Surges — But Is a Devastating Crash Looming?

Over the past ten days, Pi Network has shown a notable resurgence, rebounding sharply as the broader cryptocurrency market finds stability and investors look to capitalize on lower prices. The price of Pi coin, known for its viral tap-to-earn model, surged to a peak of $0.755 on Monday — its highest point since March 29. This marks a significant 92% increase from its lowest value this year.

Pi Token unlocks

Prior to this recovery, Pi coin had been in a steep decline. Many early adopters, referred to as “Pioneers” — users who mined the coin before the launch of its mainnet in April — began selling off their holdings. This wave of selling, combined with the lack of listings on major centralized exchanges and growing concerns about token dilution, contributed to the bearish trend. A major point of concern remains the upcoming release of over 1.56 billion tokens within the next year, a move that could significantly dilute the coin’s value.

Pi Network price

The recent bounce in Pi’s price coincides with Bitcoin’s strong performance, as the leading cryptocurrency continues to hold firm above the $80,000 mark, even amid a turbulent stock market and declining sentiment reflected in the Fear & Greed Index. Technical analysis of Pi’s four-hour chart shows a breakout from a falling wedge pattern — a bullish formation marked by two converging downward trendlines. This breakout signals renewed momentum, further confirmed by Pi climbing above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average and surpassing the Woodie pivot point.

However, this upward momentum is now being overshadowed by potential warning signs. The coin appears to be forming a rising wedge pattern, a well-known bearish signal that occurs when price trends upward within converging lines. This formation is being reinforced by a bearish divergence in technical indicators. The Percentage Price Oscillator is nearing a bearish crossover, while the Relative Strength Index is starting to drift lower — both suggesting weakening momentum.

As a result, Pi Network may be heading toward a significant correction. If the trend reverses, the price could fall back to the critical support level of $0.3979 — nearly 47% below its current position. Nevertheless, there’s still a chance for the bullish outlook to persist. If Pi manages to break through the immediate resistance at $0.8610, as indicated by the Woodie pivot point, it could aim for the psychologically important $1 mark, representing a potential 32% increase from today’s levels.

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